Re: Oh no!

[Noelle <http://dummy.us.eu.org/noelleg>]

On Mon, 30 Aug 2021, robert wrote:

 > To: http://dummy.us.eu.org/noelleg, Heather Howard <http://www.gmail.com/~hhoward40>
 > 
 >  > From: Noelle <http://dummy.us.eu.org/noelleg>
 >  > Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2021 18:23:25 -0700 (PDT)
 >  >
 >  > let's see what the electoral-vote.com people say
 > 
 > Did it say anything?

yes:
https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2021/Senate/Maps/Sep02.html#item-2

Absentee ballots in the Ca recall election are starting to 
come in and the initial rough statistics look good for Gov. Gavin 
Newsom (D-CA). So far, twice as many Democrats as Republicans have 
sent in their ballots and liberal areas of the state, including the 
Bay Area, have the highest rates of return. However, one should 
remember what happened with the "blue shift" on Election Night in 
2020. Many Republicans voted on Election Day, giving Donald Trump a 
lead that was whittled away in later days as the absentee ballots 
were counted. That could happen in the recall, with Democrats voting 
early by mail and Republicans showing up on Election Day.

The people who have voted so far are older and whiter than the 
population of the state as a whole. Seniors are 23% of the 
electorate yet they have cast 40% of the ballots received so far. In 
contrast, voters under 34 are 28% of registered voters but have cast 
only 14% of the ballots so far. Latinos make up 25% of the 
electorate but they are underperforming so far. Fewer than 20% of 
Latinos have voted so far. Still, there are almost 2 weeks to go. 
(V)