Re: FW: by Gail from Tricia Baur re; Bend Calculation re: Coronavirus (fwd)

[robert <http://dummy.us.eu.org/robert>]

I see here:

 https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/03/why-lockdowns-work-epidemics-coronavirus-covid19/

that, with the flattened curve, the stay-in-place will end in early August.
(This is for Great Britain, but I think the U.S. will be similar.)

Michael Moore says that this will come in waves and that we'll have to go
through this again later this year and then a couple of times next year
before a vaccine is developed.

Ain't human overpopulation and overconsumption wonderful?

 > From: robert <http://dummy.us.eu.org/robert>
 > Date: Fri, 27 Mar 2020 19:45:08 -0700
 >
 >  > From: Noelle <noelle>
 >  > Date: Tue, 24 Mar 2020 10:06:11 -0700 (PDT)
 >  >
 >  > let us know
 > 
 > To be honest, I think it will be worse here than in Italy.  Or any other
 > country, actually.
 > 
 > When I made my initial back-of-the-envelope calculations, I had assumed
 > that the number of infections would peak some time between May and August
 > and would kill between 500,000 and 1.5 million Americans.  This was based
 > upon Italy's infection rate.
 > 
 > But, lately, I've been realizing that there are 10s of 1000s of homeless
 > people and millions of prisoners -- a problem that dwarfs that of Italy,
 > China, and virtually every other country in the world.  So, it may be
 > worse than I had originally thought.
 > 
 > So, of course I agree with the math in this article (I've known about
 > exponential growth for a long time), but I think the social distancing
 > won't always work and people just don't care about the poor, homeless, and
 > prisoners.  Unfortunately.